The fourth game of the year matches the Army Black Knights (Sagarin 135, 0-3) and the Football Championship Series Big South Stony Brook Seawolves (Sagarin 152, 3-1.) This is the first meeting between these teams and is a very worrisome game for Army fans. Stony Brook, which advanced to the FCS semi-finals last season, brings a good offense and has the ability to win this game. A loss to Stony Brook would give a Warning Order for an 0-12 season.
At Winstom Salem – Army gained 506 yards, rushed for 429, held the ball for 33:26 – and lost again.
This was a very entertaining game and it looked as though Army was going to win a see-saw game. Army scored on their first drive, with the help of 45-yard reception by Chevaughn Lawrence, and was leading at the half. Army came out flat in the second half and gave up a 75-yard drive. Army followed that with a Raymond Maples fumble and Army found themselves down by 12 points. Army was able to score on a redemptive Maples touchdown and they were back down by 5 with the fourth quarter to play.
The Army defense held and Army was making a march for the victory, then the worst of all scenarios happened – Steelman went down. He returned for a fourth- and-1 quarterback sneak, but you could see that he was in immense pain most likely due to a rib injury, and he could not continue. Angel Santiago took the offense, but he does not seem ready to play at this level. The drive stalled, Wake Forest scored on the ensuing drive and Wake Forest won by 12. It was a game that Army probably wins if Steelman was able to stay in the game.
Steelman was 3 for 4 in the air for 77 yards. He rushed for 82 yards and 3 touchdowns. He played like the fourth year senior that we were all expecting. Maples ran for 140 yards on 15 carries and Dixon ran for 112 on 21 carries. The offense looked tremendous and is as lethal as any in the past 20 years when Steelman is playing.
The defense on the other hand, could be Army’s worst since WWII. They gave up 49 points, their third straight game giving up more than 40 points. They allowed 517 yards total, 296 of those on the ground. This was to a team that ranked 117 in rushing coming into the game.
The Deacons scored touchdowns on 7 of 10 drives. Wake Forest’s running racks Josh Harris and Deandre Martin both rushed for more than 100 yards.
In Stony Brook, N.Y., the Sea Wolves overcame 3 turnovers and beat Colgate 32-31. Miguel Maysonet rushed for 198 yards on 27 carries, including 53 yards on 9 carries on the game winning drive.
The Seawolves gained 427 total yards, with 227 on the ground.
What to look for?
Bob Sutton coached Army’s the last great team of ’96, but several embarrassing losses to 1AA opponents and a string of losses to Navy ended up costing him his job. This game has embarrassment written all over it.
Army’s lack of defense puts a lot of pressure on the offense. If the team turns the ball over or goes out on downs more than five times in a game, the team will most likely lose. Without Trent Steelman, this team may not be able to score at all.
Stony Brook is a good team. They lost to Syracuse 28-17, but were in the game for four quarters. Miguel Maysonet is an NFL caliber running back. He had 158 total yards versus Syracuse and 198 last week. He only had 53 yards versus Pace as he was taken out early in a blow-out win.
Army is an FBS team and much better than any of the teams that the Seawolves have beaten. Army should be able to move the ball on a smaller team, but with Santiago at quarterback, we are not sure that they will come close to the production they have had the last two weeks. Defensively, Army should not be so brutally outmuscled as they have been against everyone else they have faced so far. However, Maysonet is a one man gang, and he is possibly the best individual player Army has faced in the Rich Ellerson era. Given their enormous defensive shortcomings, we have serious doubts that RE and his coaching staff will find a way to contain him. There is no way Army should lose to any FCS team, but based on what we have seen from the Black Knights so far this season, this really might not go too well.
Who is favored?
There is no Vegas line because Stony Brook is a FCS team. However, if there were a line, Army would be is favored by 8 points.
Final Score – Stony Brook 28 – Army 27
(Predictions this year 0-3)
Game will be shown on CBS College Sports Network.